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Sep. 23rd, 2008 02:24 pm![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png){kind=small}
felis_ultharusFor the record, the NDP have a lead the Liberals in five provinces out of ten -- BC, Alberta, Saskatchewan, Manitoba, and Quebec. In the other five, the Liberals' lead is shrinking. This is based on data compiled from every poll by every polling firm. Meanwhile, Conservative numbers have begun to dip.
For the political pundits, this won't come as any surprise. "Liberal" has long been a dirty word in the West, and has since become a dirty word in Quebec, and Dion's shrinking support is well-known.
Outside of political circles, though, I'm still hearing friends in BC and here in Quebec talk about voting Liberal to stop Harper. A lot of people haven't gotten the message -- in half the provinces (including BC and Quebec) voting Dion will actually help propel Harper to a majority.
The way the numbers are going, it's possible that'll be upgraded to ten provinces by the end of the election.
ETA: We're at 22% and rising now, with three weeks to go. That's crucial, because 26% is the magic number, when you're no longer disadvantaged by our first-past-the-post system.
To put that in perspective, we got about 17.5% of the popular vote, which in a better system would have given us 52 seats. We got 29. The Liberals got a little over 30%, entitling them to 93, not the 103 they got. Harper got a bit more than 36%, entitling him to 111, but got 124.
Majorities are formed in this country with about 40% of the vote.
For the political pundits, this won't come as any surprise. "Liberal" has long been a dirty word in the West, and has since become a dirty word in Quebec, and Dion's shrinking support is well-known.
Outside of political circles, though, I'm still hearing friends in BC and here in Quebec talk about voting Liberal to stop Harper. A lot of people haven't gotten the message -- in half the provinces (including BC and Quebec) voting Dion will actually help propel Harper to a majority.
The way the numbers are going, it's possible that'll be upgraded to ten provinces by the end of the election.
ETA: We're at 22% and rising now, with three weeks to go. That's crucial, because 26% is the magic number, when you're no longer disadvantaged by our first-past-the-post system.
To put that in perspective, we got about 17.5% of the popular vote, which in a better system would have given us 52 seats. We got 29. The Liberals got a little over 30%, entitling them to 93, not the 103 they got. Harper got a bit more than 36%, entitling him to 111, but got 124.
Majorities are formed in this country with about 40% of the vote.